Nov. 9, 2022, More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to results as of 12 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday. Hawaii amended its law in 2010, moving Primary Day to August from September in order to comply with a federal law mandating that members of the military receive ballots at least 45 days before federal elections. He will face the Republican Duke Aiona in this solidly blue state where Jill Tokuda, who won the Democratic primary for a U.S. House seat, and Senator Brian Schatz are likely to prevail in November. Nov. 8, 2022, The Georgia Senate race, which could go to a Dec. 6 runoff, could determine which party controls the chamber. Nov. 9, 2022, J.D. Maggie Astor The outcomes of the races in these three states will decide the balance of power in the Senate. were perhaps the biggest issue in the race, a questionnaire from The Honolulu Star-Advertiser. If Republicans win all of the races where they are currently leading by two points or more, theyll take control of the House. Stacey Abrams has conceded to Brian Kemp, the Republican governor of Georgia. Skip to content. Here are the results that mattered most for abortion access. There are seven Democratic candidates, the most prominent of whom are Lt. Gov. Nov. 10, 2022, In Texas, majority-Hispanic counties also swung to the right, but to a much lesser degree than in Florida. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Hawaii Governor - Republican Primary Penns name recognition is enormous among Republican voters. DeSantis outperformed Trump in Florida in every county that has nearly finished counting votes. Nov. 8, 2022, The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. He had previously served as chairman of the states Democratic Party and from 1996 to 2002, he represented parts of Oahu, where he grew up, as a state lawmaker. The filing deadline was June 7, 2022. Democrats also won the Governors office, State Senate, and appear poised to take the State Assembly, and voters affirmed abortion rights in the state. Lazaro Gamio Looking at the demographic breakdown, Aiona tends to appeal to older voters and conservative voters while Penn supporters tend to be younger and moderate. And Cayetano got the most support from Maui. Your guide to the midterm results, from Times reporters, Democrats held onto or gained trifectas in a number of states and fended off Republican supermajorities in others. . . The race for North Carolinas open Senate seat is leaning toward Representative Ted Budd, a Republican, according to our estimates. Governor Josh Green, left, campaigning with his family Saturday in Honolulu. Untold other Democratic voters may subscribe to analyst Moores theory that Greens efforts in helping guide Hawaii through the COVID-19 pandemic cemented his high approval ratings heading into the August primary election. It is his to lose, Moore said. The campaign has gained momentum, and I look forward to a competitive race.. In a statement to the Honolulu Star-Advertiser, Greens campaign said, Green is viewed as consistent and credible, winning high job approval and favorability ratings from voters who view him as the leader of the largest public health initiative in state history. Read more Jill Tokuda campaigned in Kapolei, Hawaii, on Saturday. Officials have long struggled to get more people to vote in the state. Terms of service | Privacy Policy | Do not sell my info | Notice to California Residents, Design & development: Andrew Briz, Beatrice Jin, Arjun Kakkar, Andrew McGill, Allan James Vestal, Audience & strategy: Caroline Amenabar, Annie Bryan, Kam Burns, Isabel Dobrin, Annie Yu, Elana Zak. But so far, voters are rejecting an effort to deny abortion rights. Senator Brian Schatz, a Democratic incumbent, is running for re-election and has no serious opposition in his primary. November 5, 2024. Read this story for free: Watch an ad or complete a survey, Hawaii lieutenant governors race deadlocked, Voters give Ige and Biden approval boost, Hawaii Poll shows, Misdemeanor probe into Honolulu police union leadership forwarded to state Attorney General, Hawaii Real Estate Sales: June 13 June 17, 2022. Ron DeSantis, a hard-right conservative, is facing Representative Charlie Crist, a former Republican governor who switched parties. With each debate appearance, Vicky has established herself as the clear choice between the status quo and a new vision to address our problems of affordable housing, cost of living, climate change, our children fleeing for the mainland.. Nov. 8, 2022, If Democrats hold onto two seats leaning their way, they will need to win three additional tossup seats to maintain control of the Senate. Read more about the methodology. Hawaii Government Employees Association (HGEA), Hawaii State American Federation of Labor & Congress of Industrial Organizations, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Locals 1186, 1260 and 1357, International Longshore and Warehouse Union Local 142, University of Hawaii Professional Assembly (UHPA), Daniel H. Cunningham, independent candidate for governor in, Sherry Menor-McNamara, president and CEO of, Sam Puletasi, candidate for lieutenant governor in. The rule that primary elections would be held on Saturdays was first written into state law in 1970. Steve Shepard, our chief forecaster, has settled on four core principles . , Marc Molinaro, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 19th Congressional District. If youre Kirk Caldwell, its hard to imagine you dropping out of the race. No election. In 2020, Virginias early vote for president favored Republicans, while Pennsylvanias skewed toward Democrats. You deserve to hear our thinking. Mr. Green defeated six other Democrats, including Representative Kai Kahele and Vicky Cayetano, a former first lady of Hawaii. Read this story for free: Watch an ad or complete a survey, Undecided votes critical in tight race for lieutenant governor, Hawaii Poll reveals isle voters attitudes toward Ige, Blangiardi, Hawaii Real Estate Sales: December 27 December 31, 2021, Shut down Red Hill fuel facility, most Hawaii voters say. He will face the Republican nominee, Duke Aiona, in November; the winner then will succeed Gov. Green won the election with 63.2% of the vote with Aiona receiving 36.8% of the vote.[1][2]. By The Associated Press. There are also two other Democrats running to be LG Daniel. The support Ms. Tokuda received from outside groups which, in addition to the Congressional Progressive Caucus, included Representative Pramila Jayapals Medicare for All PAC was dwarfed by what Mr. Branco received, from organizations that included VoteVets, cryptocurrency groups and the centrist Mainstream Democrats. As vaccines were becoming widely available in the spring of 2021, a poll conducted by two Hawaii news organizations, Honolulu Civil Beat and Hawaii News Now, found that Mr. Green had a 63 percent approval rating. . The Second Congressional District, which covers most of the state geographically, is electing a new member of Congress after Mr. Kahele decided to run for governor midway through his first term. The Associated Press also provides estimates for the share of votes reported, which are shown for races for which The Times does not publish its own estimates. Ms. Cayetano a businesswoman who co-founded Hawaiis largest laundry services company and whose husband, Ben Cayetano, was governor from 1994 to 2002 campaigned on creating a state-funded pipeline for renters to earn ownership of their homes, and on eliminating state income taxes for people earning less than $50,000. To learn more about how election results work, read this article. Beto ORourke performed better than expected in these majority-Hispanic counties. Honolulu, HI 96813 Arizonas closely watched races for Senate and governor remained too close to call in the state, where 400,000 ballots in Maricopa County await counting. Source: Election results and race calls from The Associated Press. Log in now to continue reading this story. Were getting results from five states where voters are deciding whether to legalize marijuana. , In Nevadas race for governor, Joe Lombardo, a Trump-backed sheriff, beat Gov. North Carolina's 1st District. In the last primary, almost 99 percent of Hawaii voters voted by mail. Here are the main races well be watching. Only seven people have held Senate seats since Hawaii became a state in 1959. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers major. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Nov. 8, 2022, Because of the order in which different types of ballots are counted, early returns can be misleading. The Hawaii Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy of Washington, D.C., from July 12 to 17. Republicans need to flip only one seat to gain control of the Senate, while Democrats need to keep 50 seats to maintain control. Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens survived a member-versus-member primary in August likely the biggest obstacle to her reelection. Officials say the timing of results will depend on how many people return their ballots at the last minute on Election Day. There's a crowded Republican field, too, which includes former Lt. Gov. More than a million dollars in spending by such groups gave Mr. Branco a financial advantage, even though Ms. Tokudas campaign raised more than three times as much as his in the most recent fiscal quarter, according to Federal Election Commission filings. 2022 Hawaii Gubernatorial Election Poll Results Quiz Elections If the 2022 Hawaii Gubernatorial election were held today, which candidate would you vote for? Theres a crowded Republican field, too, which includes former Lt. Gov. Read more Heres what the vote count could look like this year. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Asked for a comment about his numbers, Kahele told the Star- Advertiser in a terse email: (My) official comment is: Why dont you ask Andy Winer?. Follow along here California, Michigan, Kentucky and Montana also have abortion referendums on the ballot. We are very happy with the support we continue to receive, and I am working hard to help Hawaii not only recover from the pandemic, but to build a stronger and healthier community as a result. Read more. The biggest topic of discussion in the campaign has been how to address the states housing crisis, which was exacerbated by wealthy remote workers moving from the mainland during the pandemic and has hit Native Hawaiians especially hard. Only 2% of voters did not recognize Greens name, the lowest of all of the gubernatorial candidates. North Carolina Senate. J.D. Ballots were expected to be cast largely by mail, since Hawaii moved to universal mail voting in 2019. Janet Mills of Maine. Hawaii Elections Forecast 2022: Ratings, Predictions & Key Races. Nate Cohn Hawaii Governor - 2018: Ige (D) +29.0 | 2014: Ige (D) +12.4 Senate Polls | Governor Polls | Generic Congressional Ballot | State of the Union Polls | Latest Election Polls Nov. 8, 2022, Nevada is the last big swing state of the day, and virtually everything is up for grabs: The races for Senate, three House seats, governor and secretary of state. Green raised $774,616 between July 1 and Mondays filing deadline. To retain control of the House, Democrats must win 46 of these seats (after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily). We're tracking new legislative maps as they come out, and crunching the numbers. Ms. Tokuda defeated her top rival, Patrick Branco, a first-term state representative, and several others. By comparison, Ige received only a 49% overall approval rating for his handling of COVID-19. Were getting results for ballot measures related to abortion and reproductive rights in Kentucky, Michigan and Vermont. Nov. 14, 2022, Three Republican House candidates who have supported QAnon underperformed compared with Trump, despite most House Republicans outperforming the former president. Hawaii has not elected a non-incumbent Republican senator since 1959, its first federal election as a state. Nov. 8, 2022, In Kentucky, voters will decide whether to approve a constitutional amendment that would effectively ensure the implementation of a near-total abortion ban. BJ Penn an Ultimate Fighting Champion Hall of Famer followed Aiona, with 26% of the Republican voters polled choosing him. Much of their sparring was over who would be a stronger advocate for such measures. In Indiana, a House race in the 1st district leans Democratic, but, if the seat were to flip, it could be an early sign of a red wave. Tony Evers won a second term as governor of Wisconsin, giving Democrats a foothold in a critical presidential battleground. In November 2020, initial results werent released for more than four hours after polls officially closed because of extremely long lines in some parts of the state. Editing by Sarah Frostenson. I dont know what hes talking about. Gov. Among them: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Texas. Copyright 2023 StarAdvertiser.com. 2018 Hawaii governor . Winer has supported Hawaii candidates for years, including serving as a general consultant for Kaheles successful, first-term run for Congress in 2020, but he now supports Green as an unpaid campaign volunteer. Lauren Boebert, incumbent in Colorados 3rd district, is in an unexpectedly close race in what was considered a safe Republican district. Of those, 782 were Democratic primary voters, giving the representative poll a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. Its early days for Vicky Cayetano, but she has her work cut out for her for sure, Moore said. Maggie Astor These are only estimates, and they may not be informed by reports from election officials. endorsement, pro-Branco ads attacked Ms. Tokuda for opposing a 2015 bill that would have banned pesticide spraying around Hawaii schools. However the state already bans abortions, and that is unlikely to change. The Democrats need to win roughly twice as many of the most competitive districts as Republicans to keep control of the House. Alicia Parlapiano , Gov. The 2014 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Hawaii, concurrently with a special election to Hawaii's Class III Senate Seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.. Primary elections were held on August 9, 2014. Lazaro Gamio Caldwell raised $344,861 during the same period and reported $717,678 in cash on hand. Lazaro Gamio John Fetterman has been locked in a bitter contest against Mehmet Oz, the Republican celebrity doctor. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2022, except in New Hampshire and Vermont, where governors serve two-year terms and will elect their governors in 2024 . Nov. 8, 2022, Its still early in Wisconsin, but it looks close. Democratic Rep. Ami Bera is still a heavy favorite, but his party appears set to lose ground in California. Lazaro Gamio In response to a questionnaire from The Honolulu Star-Advertiser, she emphasized the need for more federal funding for health care, education and housing in rural communities. Though the practice may be unusual in the United States, Hawaii isnt the only place to hold a primary election on a Saturday. Nov. 9, 2022, Cortez Masto is behind in Nevada at the moment, but there are a lot of votes left in Clark and Washoe, counties home to the state's largest cities. New York's 26th District. Mail ballots are due by the close of polls on August 13. Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia, a Democrat, won a runoff election to defeat Herschel Walker, a Trump-backed Republican and former football star. , Adrian Fontes, a Democrat, defeated Mark Finchem, a G.O.P. Wisconsins Senate race is leaning toward Senator Ron Johnson, his chambers most endangered Republican incumbent, according to our estimates. Kemp, the Republican governor who switched parties Michigan, Kentucky and Montana also have abortion referendums the. The rule that primary Elections would be held on Saturdays was first written into state law 1970! The race for North Carolinas open Senate seat is leaning toward senator ron Johnson, his chambers most endangered incumbent. 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